Tennis · resolved market
Marta Kostyuk vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x925c035dc6a5d5ff35d1e5bdd39baa98a8691de074f8e45434692ecd7881b714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under 2.5 | 59c | 4,866$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 1,832$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.46 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 1,389$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 940$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over 2.5 | 41c | 731$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d5…51cbbacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 552.66$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…dadfbacked Over 2.5 | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under 2.5 | 61c | 466.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 405$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…f086backed Over 2.5 | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 47c | 399.8$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 398.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 392.12$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 367.36$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 341.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 327.75$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under 2.5 | 48c | 272.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under 2.5 | 50c | 248$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 240.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…72f3backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 233.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 227.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Under 2.5 | 48c | 206.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Under 2.5 | 60c | 196.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over 2.5 | 52c | 167.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 159.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under 2.5 | 48c | 127.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 65.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…4575backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…8e0bbacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 45.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 44.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over 2.5 | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…0241backed Over 2.5 | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Over 2.5 | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…ac8cbacked Over 2.5 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…9406backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Noskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.