Tennis · resolved market
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6396b5894f730b6fcfb412946d0c7ecc87e2e5d13b94d1a40c388aa495a41a67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 13,172$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,883.98 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 9,582$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…ce22backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.94 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 3,486$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.49 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…4990backed Over | 55c | 3,083$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 2,786$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.47 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 59c | 2,006$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.12 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Over | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Over | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 48c | 747.54$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.72 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 596.21$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 536.37$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.73 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 60c | 400$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.05 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Over | 53c | 373.23$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 57c | 351.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 49c | 303.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 39c | 276.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Under | 43c | 252.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 48c | 252.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Under | 43c | 202$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 56c | 178.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 10c | 172.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 47c | 171.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 48c | 162.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 48c | 131.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 48c | 100.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 52c | 99.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Over | 60c | 81.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Under | 35c | 80.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…e2b5backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 75.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Under | 53c | 57.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 51c | 52.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Under | 49c | 50.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…0827backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 45c | 42.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…ca33backed Over | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 48c | 30.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 53c | 27.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 26.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 53c | 22.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 58c | 17.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs NoskovaNoskova won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)Noskova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda NoskovaLinda Noskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.