Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce7439630f6ea2e7cbaa42d84d035fc0e7886128e325f2765c28fe902e03bd33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Jenson Brooksby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $602,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $602,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 123,410$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 103,612$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 50,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 23,746$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.95 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 12,453$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.78 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 11,842$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jenson Brooksby | 3c | 11,710$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.31 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Jenson Brooksby | 1c | 10,000$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 8,364$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.79 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 7,963$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.42 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Jenson Brooksby | 3c | 7,373$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 7,349$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.97 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 6,900$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Jenson Brooksby | 3c | 6,660$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Jenson Brooksby | 2c | 6,420$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jenson Brooksby | 2c | 5,400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 5,150$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…15ffbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 4,940$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…95a7backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 4,838$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jenson Brooksby | 3c | 4,537$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 4,296$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 3,086$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 2,723$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 2,377$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Jenson Brooksby | 1c | 2,313$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Jenson Brooksby | 2c | 2,303$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 2,134$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 2,094$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 2,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 1,949$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 1,872$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…1b54backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 1,708$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 1,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 1,432$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 1,043$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 52 | 13.5%7 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jenson Brooksby | 3c | 1,030$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…91bfbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 1,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957b…716dbacked Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 999.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…f90ebacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 999.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 963.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 914.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 818.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…5046backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…8ceebacked Jenson Brooksby | 7c | 795.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 713.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 690.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 655$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 652.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 640$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 638.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Jenson Brooksby | 2c | 549.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Jenson Brooksby | 7c | 518.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5022…9b18backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 504.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 482.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…a1bcbacked Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 431.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…af9fbacked Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 349.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 345.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 455 | 64.6%294 W · 161 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…8db2backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 329.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 322.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…f008backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 313.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 299.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 290$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 283.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 261.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 258.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Jenson Brooksby | 4c | 256.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jenson Brooksby | 5c | 243.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…f536backed Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Jenson Brooksby | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksbythis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jenson Brooksby: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs BrooksbySinner won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs BrooksbySinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs BrooksbySinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Brooksby (+2.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Brooksby: Match O/U 36.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.