Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Brooksby
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa98a94a02cf265ad1d712c996a3cef239086d720e2d38e52eb4a2c36e5eeb8bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Brooksby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinner | 72c | 9,633$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.37 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brooksby | 27c | 4,657$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.52 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Brooksby | 35c | 2,285$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.93 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Brooksby | 27c | 1,184$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Brooksby | 27c | 552.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Brooksby | 9c | 509.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Brooksby | 27c | 341.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Brooksby | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Brooksby | 28c | 184.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Brooksby | 27c | 162$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Brooksby | 27c | 154.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Brooksby | 27c | 137.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Brooksby | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Brooksby | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sinner | 77c | 91.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Brooksby | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Brooksby | 27c | 74.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Brooksby | 27c | 45.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a3a0backed Brooksby | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Brooksby | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Sinner | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Brooksbythis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jenson Brooksby: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs BrooksbySinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs BrooksbySinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Brooksby (+2.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Brooksby: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson BrooksbyJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.