Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Brooksby (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dfef9fb18a92d41146c1292b2c03e0441ef45806409aeaed6720bea3cb992ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Brooksby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Sinner | 68c | 8,467$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.1 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Brooksby | 33c | 3,399$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.88 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Brooksby | 34c | 1,893$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.63 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Brooksby | 32c | 1,775$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Brooksby | 32c | 1,762$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.95 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Sinner | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Sinner | 67c | 1,169$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Brooksby | 32c | 1,127$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.07 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Sinner | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Brooksby | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Brooksby | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Brooksby | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Sinner | 68c | 445.06$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…2a32backed Sinner | 71c | 279.2$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Brooksby | 27c | 256.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Brooksby | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Brooksby | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner | 64c | 194.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Brooksby | 32c | 151.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Brooksby | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Sinner | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Brooksby | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Brooksby | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Sinner | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f4…a7c9backed Sinner | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Brooksby | 32c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Brooksby | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…24d5backed Brooksby | 33c | 54.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…1f9abacked Brooksby | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Sinner | 66c | 37.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Sinner | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sinner | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Brooksby (+2.5)this page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Jenson Brooksby: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs BrooksbySinner won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs BrooksbySinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs BrooksbySinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)Sinner won
- Sinner vs. Brooksby: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jenson BrooksbyJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.