TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katerina Siniakovaof Katerina Siniakova, Yue Yuan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Yue Yuan26c117,647$30,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,786.4974439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Katerina Siniakova74c27,763$20,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,233.7111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Katerina Siniakova73c21,474$15,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.768,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Katerina Siniakova80c6,042$4,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.934,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yue Yuan16c5,695$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Katerina Siniakova76c3,400$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.7611963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Katerina Siniakova70c2,789$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.563,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Katerina Siniakova61c2,765$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.5838446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Katerina Siniakova78c2,069$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.945,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Katerina Siniakova75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Yue Yuan7c1,598$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.838911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yue Yuan22c1,542$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2543334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yue Yuan16c1,225$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.124,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katerina Siniakova79c1,215$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.778,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Yue Yuan13c1,000$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.442,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Katerina Siniakova49c878.58$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.8817436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Katerina Siniakova34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52819411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Yue Yuan17c658.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yue Yuan14c655.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Katerina Siniakova76c650.97$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3112369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yue Yuan17c601.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katerina Siniakova78c543.06$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.266,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Yue Yuan15c521.48$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7725043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Yue Yuan12c509.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9952910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Katerina Siniakova75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Katerina Siniakova71c485.3$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.741,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yue Yuan16c452$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3463144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Katerina Siniakova75c426.24$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.046,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Yue Yuan30c411.1$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3351744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Katerina Siniakova74c380.91$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.932,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yue Yuan5c348.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9768430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Katerina Siniakova74c270.03$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.946,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9235…224dbacked Katerina Siniakova75c270$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.54269%29 W · 13 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…d95dbacked Katerina Siniakova75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Katerina Siniakova78c256$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3222667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Yue Yuan26c247.81$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.431,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Katerina Siniakova15c240$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.41,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yue Yuan10c239$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.962727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yue Yuan15c229.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1472638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Katerina Siniakova75c217.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4995050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c81…59bcbacked Yue Yuan14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Yue Yuan30c208.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.491,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Yue Yuan15c199.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5522346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Yue Yuan20c199.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.892,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Katerina Siniakova61c193$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.630040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Katerina Siniakova61c193$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.619941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Katerina Siniakova61c193$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.619744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf417…b1bebacked Yue Yuan13c190.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Yue Yuan11c158.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.952,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Yue Yuan25c155.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.917,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Katerina Siniakova74c153.64$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.371,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Katerina Siniakova71c152.27$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5611133.3%37 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5271…e12abacked Yue Yuan14c140.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Katerina Siniakova73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yue Yuan20c124.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Katerina Siniakova75c120.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yue Yuan25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Yue Yuan25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yue Yuan25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Katerina Siniakova76c105.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8585742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yue Yuan14c104.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5747447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Katerina Siniakova72c104.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.511,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yue Yuan13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd95…08b8backed Yue Yuan14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14828.5%7 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-65.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Yue Yuan28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2825051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1199…4cd7backed Yue Yuan15c99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8706…008cbacked Katerina Siniakova78c90.93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.655072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Katerina Siniakova66c83.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3339469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x215b…5906backed Yue Yuan14c73.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.296124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Yue Yuan23c63.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.541,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ed…0b27backed Yue Yuan16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Katerina Siniakova74c61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Yue Yuan29c58.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Katerina Siniakova69c57.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5625550.6%129 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Yue Yuan29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1648552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Yue Yuan25c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57934.2%27 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab9…5be4backed Yue Yuan40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katerina Siniakova69c47.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.697,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10dd…4831backed Katerina Siniakova75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3311858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Katerina Siniakova70c33.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.855764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Katerina Siniakova69c28.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7862549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Katerina Siniakova75c26.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.576045%27 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…5ff8backed Katerina Siniakova75c26.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.573540%14 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Katerina Siniakova76c25.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.155453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Katerina Siniakova75c21.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Katerina Siniakova71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.839851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf051…900ebacked Katerina Siniakova74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.210368.9%71 W · 32 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Katerina Siniakova74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Katerina Siniakova53c19.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9315931.4%50 W · 109 L+15.3wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Katerina Siniakova79c14.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0519459.3%115 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.