Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Miguel Damas vs Roberto Carballes Baena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0bc8d9421b85808a96625ddcd9899830e56fd17905f7f837014d6c869e2c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roberto Carballes Baenaof Miguel Damas, Roberto Carballes Baena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Miguel Damas | 2c | 2,530$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 71c | 2,294$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.31 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Miguel Damas | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miguel Damas | 34c | 1,767$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.73 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Miguel Damas | 31c | 999.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.79 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Damas | 17c | 964.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miguel Damas | 27c | 571.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miguel Damas | 8c | 524.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 352$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 66c | 341.21$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 67c | 289.33$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 70c | 285.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Miguel Damas | 29c | 241.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Miguel Damas | 9c | 232$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 66c | 211$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 67c | 198.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Miguel Damas | 31c | 161.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Miguel Damas | 24c | 114.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Miguel Damas | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 100.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Miguel Damas | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miguel Damas | 30c | 88.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 67c | 88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 81.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Miguel Damas | 23c | 65.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 71c | 48.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 48.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Miguel Damas | 29c | 46.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 72c | 44.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Miguel Damas | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Miguel Damas | 36c | 30.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Miguel Damas | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 103 | 68.9%71 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 64c | 25.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 67c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.