Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Karmine Corp vs. Team Vitality
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95edf4ebd74bf2749e40e9d10718a38530f92363591fe10a2284025e2d08dbfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Vitality | 20c | 3,551$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.86 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Vitality | 22c | 2,370$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.9 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Team Vitality | 10c | 2,008$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Team Vitality | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Team Vitality | 19c | 1,200$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 1,180$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.4 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Vitality | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 895.42$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.26 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…9377backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 757.05$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed Team Vitality | 20c | 738.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 716$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Team Vitality | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Team Vitality | 40c | 525.83$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…9016backed Team Vitality | 27c | 519.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 489.2$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 483.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 455.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 414.15$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 380$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Team Vitality | 21c | 369.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 349.65$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 328.02$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 315$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Team Vitality | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Team Vitality | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Team Vitality | 21c | 279.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Vitality | 25c | 250.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Vitality | 33c | 248$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…2979backed Team Vitality | 14c | 241.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Team Vitality | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 217.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked Team Vitality | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Team Vitality | 18c | 199.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…35e4backed Team Vitality | 19c | 174.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Team Vitality | 22c | 132.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…31d3backed Team Vitality | 39c | 132.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Team Vitality | 16c | 131.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Team Vitality | 19c | 111.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 104.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Team Vitality | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Team Vitality | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Vitality | 23c | 93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Team Vitality | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 64.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Team Vitality | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked Team Vitality | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Team Vitality | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Team Vitality | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 45.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…4fd6backed Team Vitality | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Team Vitality | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…2a04backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Team Vitality | 39c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.