CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs 3DMAX (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a22b53042ddc9e5d050b34aa1e4669146960c3d673a98c0febaa1fd589364c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof Virtus.pro, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 13,054$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.48 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 5,646$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.25 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed 3DMAX | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked 3DMAX | 64c | 1,736$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.05 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2b…d2d4backed 3DMAX | 64c | 1,593$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked 3DMAX | 56c | 1,496$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.3 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked 3DMAX | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,379$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.65 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed 3DMAX | 49c | 1,214$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.48 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,160$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,022$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.16 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 3DMAX | 62c | 1,014$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.43 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed 3DMAX | 59c | 908$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.88 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 899.47$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 42c | 860$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 792.29$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 745.3$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.81 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 720.22$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.29 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed 3DMAX | 53c | 658.19$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.31 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 632.37$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 584.13$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.24 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 542.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked 3DMAX | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked 3DMAX | 63c | 492.16$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed 3DMAX | 46c | 489.64$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.56 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 3DMAX | 54c | 383.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed 3DMAX | 51c | 355.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed 3DMAX | 58c | 355.17$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed 3DMAX | 41c | 329.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked 3DMAX | 69c | 315.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed 3DMAX | 64c | 314.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed 3DMAX | 64c | 284.38$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 161.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed 3DMAX | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked 3DMAX | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed 3DMAX | 64c | 156.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…7dd4backed 3DMAX | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…45cabacked 3DMAX | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 155$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 129.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed 3DMAX | 49c | 101.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed 3DMAX | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…7858backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 92.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 77.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 63.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed 3DMAX | 63c | 49.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX | 69c | 48.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked 3DMAX | 54c | 43.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed 3DMAX | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed 3DMAX | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed 3DMAX | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed 3DMAX | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked 3DMAX | 80c | 26.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked 3DMAX | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.