Tennis · resolved market
Japan Women's Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Viktorija Golubic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4951da17d8095d5cd459d4b833872f8f048c360130de2b551f85a199710317e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golubicof Bouzkova, Golubic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golubic | 36c | 3,724$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.6 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bouzkova | 64c | 2,625$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.92 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Bouzkova | 61c | 1,810$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golubic | 33c | 1,075$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bouzkova | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Golubic | 69c | 938.41$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Golubic | 35c | 759.73$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Bouzkova | 26c | 600.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Golubic | 47c | 585.68$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.41 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Bouzkova | 60c | 396.43$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.49 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golubic | 34c | 380$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Golubic | 39c | 330$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Golubic | 34c | 262.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bouzkova | 63c | 232.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…f1a8backed Golubic | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Golubic | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golubic | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Golubic | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bouzkova | 68c | 147.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bouzkova | 78c | 128.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Golubic | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Golubic | 78c | 48.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Golubic | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Bouzkova | 64c | 33.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bouzkova | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.