CS2 · resolved market
LoL: RED vs SR
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55bbf2008fd57de6f1f40eb77a3fdb8ade4c3801faa9e20cd9e689b502badb9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REDof RED, SR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed RED | 29c | 5,555$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.05 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed SR | 71c | 3,900$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed SR | 71c | 3,202$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.4 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked RED | 32c | 2,841$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.8 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked SR | 20c | 1,869$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.43 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RED | 29c | 1,150$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…981ebacked SR | 34c | 1,047$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed RED | 31c | 890$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.5 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked RED | 70c | 820.36$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked SR | 74c | 786.72$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked RED | 43c | 696.31$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.41 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked RED | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed RED | 70c | 587.82$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed SR | 66c | 540.61$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed RED | 30c | 426.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.82 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed SR | 72c | 410$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed SR | 70c | 384.11$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked SR | 64c | 374.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed RED | 70c | 359$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed RED | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed SR | 69c | 301.47$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked RED | 28c | 266.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.88 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed SR | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed SR | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed SR | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed SR | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed RED | 30c | 111.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed SR | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed SR | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed SR | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e671backed SR | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed SR | 61c | 79.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…3bc1backed RED | 24c | 74.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +324.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked SR | 63c | 62.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e1…1135backed SR | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SR | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed RED | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked RED | 52c | 48.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked SR | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SR | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.