MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e7978bc0ba123087bbb719e729923d0c6cc9104f90a74c6b9faf68d365daa56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $997,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,001,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $997,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Giants | 44c | 838,869$366,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472,044.91 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 56c | 290,021$162,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162,889.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 56c | 185,397$103,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,822.32 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 57c | 111,070$63,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,020.47 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 57c | 69,000$39,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,080 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 56c | 59,000$33,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,060 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 57c | 47,000$26,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,560 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 56c | 32,500$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 58c | 25,864$15,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000.95 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Padres | 56c | 22,234$12,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,450.83 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 57c | 16,405$9,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,350.75 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 67c | 10,821$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.78 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4997…f954backed Padres | 58c | 8,455$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 45c | 8,389$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.33 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 43c | 7,651$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.35 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 57c | 6,700$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 24c | 6,608$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 27c | 5,856$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.4 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…0e7abacked Giants | 44c | 5,347$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Giants | 43c | 5,050$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b10backed Padres | 56c | 4,264$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…dfcbbacked Padres | 56c | 4,098$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 50c | 4,025$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.11 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Padres | 57c | 3,814$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres | 32c | 3,512$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.83 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Giants | 73c | 3,243$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.94 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa887…363bbacked Giants | 44c | 3,016$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Giants | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 28c | 2,941$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.1 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Padres | 57c | 2,850$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.52 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 25c | 2,352$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 43c | 2,330$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.1 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Giants | 43c | 1,676$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.13 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Padres | 32c | 1,554$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 66c | 1,301$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 25c | 1,296$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 23c | 1,216$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Giants | 42c | 1,120$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.6 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 18c | 1,059$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Giants | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 17c | 993$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…81cfbacked Padres | 56c | 984$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd0…647bbacked Giants | 44c | 980$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c260backed Giants | 44c | 970$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6670backed Padres | 56c | 966$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Padres | 11c | 910$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 23c | 878.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Giants | 42c | 838.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.62 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 73c | 800.72$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Padres | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 44c | 681$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Padres | 33c | 570$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Giants | 42c | 561$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.38 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Padres | 55c | 549.52$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 56c | 547.66$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.84 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 79c | 546.74$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Giants | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 70c | 531.35$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Padres | 19c | 526.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Padres | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Padres | 11c | 471.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Giants | 43c | 465.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.07 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 41c | 453.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.41 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 43c | 450.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Padres | 56c | 388$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.28 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 44c | 349.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Giants | 43c | 300$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants | 44c | 263.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 32c | 237.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Padres | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Giants | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 57c | 222.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Giants | 61c | 204.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Padres | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Giants | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Giants | 74c | 198.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 38c | 183.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 30c | 174.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…c46abacked Giants | 45c | 168$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…d3f1backed Padres | 55c | 168$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Giants | 43c | 164.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Padres | 24c | 141.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 57c | 139.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Padres | 19c | 128.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Padres | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 44c | 122.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.