CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Gentle Mates (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8878a9ded4a8ade8c1f71f9fb4effd78022befbe0d18896a6eb01c6d2fb7d23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed TheMongolz | 77c | 14,094$10,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.07 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 10,999$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.84 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 4,350$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 3,728$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Gentle Mates | 22c | 2,396$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.08 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 17c | 1,867$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.74 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed TheMongolz | 76c | 1,065$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed TheMongolz | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked TheMongolz | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed TheMongolz | 76c | 925$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked TheMongolz | 74c | 810$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.65 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 76c | 801.41$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Gentle Mates | 19c | 800$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz | 76c | 786$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gentle Mates | 3c | 689.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 74c | 528$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Gentle Mates | 17c | 479.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Gentle Mates | 6c | 415.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Gentle Mates | 8c | 412.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed TheMongolz | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Gentle Mates | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 270$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked TheMongolz | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Gentle Mates | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed TheMongolz | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Gentle Mates | 17c | 171.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked TheMongolz | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gentle Mates | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked Gentle Mates | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed TheMongolz | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 43.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed TheMongolz | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…4b3ebacked Gentle Mates | 27c | 40.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked TheMongolz | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed TheMongolz | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed TheMongolz | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed TheMongolz | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked TheMongolz | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…dbefbacked TheMongolz | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.