Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs Los Ratones (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e80e73e34ce71332c350b361f6b21d6f0e4be2267189fded31295ea28ea3f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Los Ratones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Los Ratones | 63c | 3,543$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.06 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Misa Esports | 32c | 3,215$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.51 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Los Ratones | 77c | 1,796$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.31 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Misa Esports | 21c | 1,297$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.81 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Los Ratones | 4c | 1,294$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Los Ratones | 77c | 1,249$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.99 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Misa Esports | 23c | 1,160$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.66 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Los Ratones | 70c | 1,117$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.92 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Los Ratones | 72c | 1,066$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.38 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Misa Esports | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 23c | 1,000$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Misa Esports | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Misa Esports | 24c | 857.6$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.91 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Los Ratones | 79c | 570$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Misa Esports | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Misa Esports | 25c | 416.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Los Ratones | 75c | 412.8$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked Los Ratones | 76c | 280$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Misa Esports | 54c | 276.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Los Ratones | 56c | 260$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Misa Esports | 21c | 248.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Los Ratones | 79c | 215.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Misa Esports | 22c | 198.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Misa Esports | 21c | 166.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Misa Esports | 30c | 155.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Misa Esports | 33c | 101.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 101.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Misa Esports | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Misa Esports | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Los Ratones | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa017…9d13backed Los Ratones | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Misa Esports | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Los Ratones | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Misa Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Misa Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…f641backed Los Ratones | 45c | 32.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55f…2e75backed Los Ratones | 77c | 25.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…0b95backed Los Ratones | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.