MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a3914bb35a42638b48b979d01975d4865b78efe9f9a2a5c318a31ad146fa28b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 64c | 31,625$20,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,229.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cardinals | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 63c | 10,132$6,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,383.05 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 5c | 6,083$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 34c | 5,387$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.59 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Brewers | 34c | 2,199$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.62 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 34c | 2,156$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.38 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 35c | 2,054$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 36c | 1,793$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.86 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,652$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brewers | 19c | 1,606$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.11 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 56c | 1,528$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.87 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cardinals | 70c | 1,508$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.46 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,425$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 65c | 1,325$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 65c | 1,297$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.05 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 36c | 1,078$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.9 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 65c | 1,033$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.49 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.05 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Brewers | 54c | 962.96$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 37c | 940$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.2 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 37c | 821.5$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.36 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cardinals | 37c | 686$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.18 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 62c | 641.11$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Brewers | 64c | 593$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.52 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Brewers | 51c | 590.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 37c | 547$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 36c | 545.14$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.89 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Brewers | 30c | 544.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brewers | 19c | 491$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 49c | 358.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Brewers | 21c | 358.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 34c | 332.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 62c | 323$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 62c | 317.73$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 37c | 316.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Brewers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Brewers | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 62c | 253.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Brewers | 53c | 234.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 64c | 226.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.79 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Brewers | 9c | 219.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Brewers | 44c | 208.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cardinals | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 64c | 178.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…f39fbacked Brewers | 38c | 176.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Brewers | 64c | 157.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Brewers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Cardinals | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Brewers | 63c | 139.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Brewers | 30c | 137.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Cardinals | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 41c | 128.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Cardinals | 62c | 120.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Brewers | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 62c | 115$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 30c | 108.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Cardinals | 62c | 89.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Brewers | 63c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Brewers | 63c | 82.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Brewers | 37c | 80.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 379 | 51.7%196 W · 183 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Brewers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 60c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cardinals | 50c | 73.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Brewers | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 67.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Brewers | 65c | 56.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cardinals | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Brewers | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cardinals | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Brewers | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Brewers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Brewers | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cardinals | 36c | 42.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Cardinals | 52c | 37.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Brewers | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Brewers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Brewers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Brewers | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Brewers | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…41dfbacked Cardinals | 76c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Brewersthis page
- Cardinals vs. Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.