Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Sebastian Korda vs Kamil Majchrzak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb1591b631e2aac202313f60e2284fb470b7e409af749617fc1316784f8c6abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kordaof Korda, Majchrzak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Korda | 67c | 5,454$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Majchrzak | 38c | 4,744$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.62 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Korda | 63c | 1,647$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.77 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Majchrzak | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Majchrzak | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…3a5bbacked Majchrzak | 28c | 1,209$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Majchrzak | 33c | 1,071$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Korda | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Majchrzak | 45c | 970.12$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.08 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…b670backed Korda | 47c | 880$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Korda | 58c | 869.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Korda | 62c | 802.63$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…0b43backed Majchrzak | 38c | 802.63$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Majchrzak | 39c | 509.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Majchrzak | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Majchrzak | 32c | 429.43$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Korda | 60c | 385.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.41 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Majchrzak | 39c | 274.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Korda | 58c | 273.42$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed Korda | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Majchrzak | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Majchrzak | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Korda | 63c | 164.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Korda | 58c | 161.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Korda | 70c | 150.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Majchrzak | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Majchrzak | 37c | 113.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Korda | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Majchrzak | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Majchrzak | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Majchrzak | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Majchrzak | 16c | 96.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Korda | 52c | 93.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Majchrzak | 20c | 92.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Majchrzak | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Korda | 71c | 45.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Korda | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Majchrzak | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Majchrzak | 39c | 38.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Majchrzak | 34c | 32.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Korda | 60c | 31.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Korda | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.