Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Francisco Comesana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b060029ab110723af01873ded234caa3e433b24dea06339cbb93e7f96d308a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Collignon, Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Collignon | 69c | 13,000$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.44 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Collignon | 64c | 5,884$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Comesana | 31c | 5,653$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.87 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Comesana | 20c | 4,088$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Comesana | 28c | 3,643$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.68 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Comesana | 43c | 1,499$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.57 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Collignon | 61c | 1,497$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Comesana | 38c | 1,386$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.68 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Comesana | 39c | 1,076$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Collignon | 70c | 1,000$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.9 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Comesana | 45c | 997$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Comesana | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…0b43backed Comesana | 26c | 770.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Comesana | 34c | 739.38$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Comesana | 40c | 595.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Comesana | 37c | 532$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Collignon | 60c | 484.78$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Collignon | 75c | 470.43$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Comesana | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Comesana | 41c | 385.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Collignon | 63c | 365.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Comesana | 41c | 362.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Comesana | 34c | 339.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Comesana | 44c | 214.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Comesana | 35c | 183.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Collignon | 66c | 180.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Comesana | 37c | 154.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Comesana | 15c | 149.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Collignon | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Comesana | 41c | 135.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Comesana | 40c | 125.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Collignon | 65c | 105.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Comesana | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Collignon | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Collignon | 63c | 101.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Comesana | 37c | 93.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Comesana | 33c | 75.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Comesana | 45c | 68.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Comesana | 40c | 63.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Comesana | 39c | 51.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Comesana | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Collignon | 66c | 49.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Collignon | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Comesana | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Collignon | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Comesana | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Collignon | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Comesana | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Comesana | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Collignon | 43c | 25.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…f90bbacked Collignon | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.