TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Tigers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$740,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$742,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers55c468,685$257,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257,498.0738043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics45c333,565$150,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,144.321,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics45c109,300$49,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,114.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics45c47,707$21,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,238.8535952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers58c33,598$19,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,476.1160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers51c26,752$13,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,565.291,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Tigers48c24,426$11,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,606.835854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Athletics46c22,137$10,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,968.0754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics46c20,500$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0001,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers55c19,124$10,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,517.9348254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Athletics75c18,199$13,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,501.8945248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers54c14,716$7,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,951.4238751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Tigers23c13,385$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.4521747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Athletics46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.5719649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers55c9,373$5,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.2633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Athletics47c9,021$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.9810154.5%55 W · 46 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tigers42c8,848$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.4712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics45c6,398$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.6430255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics44c6,381$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.462,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics51c6,280$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,081.582,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tigers57c5,766$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.651,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Tigers46c4,865$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.016538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics54c4,629$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.189,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Tigers55c4,341$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.3221246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d15bbacked Athletics44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c47…45b6backed Athletics44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c68…b1cfbacked Tigers1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307051.4%36 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics54c2,642$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.136,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Athletics77c2,600$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60025454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e8…fbe3backed Tigers56c2,400$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00af…560dbacked Tigers56c2,100$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics40c2,025$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b37…263bbacked Tigers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers46c1,831$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84230842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Tigers44c1,821$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.2231248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics44c1,820$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.21,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers56c1,332$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.4834550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Athletics46c1,089$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.1118349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2d…58b9backed Athletics47c1,021$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics70c1,005$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.681,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Athletics45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Athletics47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics46c903.1$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics49c899.2$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.821,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics41c887.99$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.571,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Athletics47c832.56$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Athletics56c807.01$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2125364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Athletics56c804.3$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers56c707.14$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39654048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Tigers36c655.25$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.729554.7%52 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics49c626.21$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.276,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Athletics57c623$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.897153.5%38 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Athletics59c616.9$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9813149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Tigers44c600$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26627733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers60c589.91$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Tigers54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Tigers42c522.54$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics44c520.38$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4151347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tigers55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27530151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Athletics45c499.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9830850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf27…6519backed Tigers51c485.63$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics53c472.31$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7270841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Tigers27c464.9$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.523228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Tigers49c461.79$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.829551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Tigers49c408.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa93b…a867backed Tigers47c404.02$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers41c386.05$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.094,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics46c353.89$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.721,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics64c350.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.232,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…7507backed Athletics65c312.5$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Tigers49c303.14$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.546657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics44c299.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.993,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics45c295$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers42c294.15$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Tigers26c284.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747445.9%34 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.41,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ea…0fc1backed Athletics75c249.92$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.482661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Tigers50c246.03$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1246144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Athletics47c245.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3717244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers56c219.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2659…d77ebacked Tigers42c218.82$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.033627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Tigers46c218.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers52c211.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8443949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers55c210.01$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4985047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Tigers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d74…2759backed Tigers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11023545.1%106 W · 129 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Tigers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10618249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb6…516bbacked Athletics45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Athletics45c199.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9912857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Tigers69c197.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tigers52c192.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Athletics45c190$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Tigers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Tigers71c186.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5111257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Tigers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Tigers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Tigers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.