CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f01e3772b9a4c85aad09aaa1ed49ad07422965dd0a6dd65809965fd6f732d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked FURIA | 74c | 16,368$12,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.22 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed TheMongolz | 26c | 16,330$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.8 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 54c | 14,001$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,461.58 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked TheMongolz | 46c | 8,874$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,082.04 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed FURIA | 55c | 4,758$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.25 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 3,576$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.74 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz | 59c | 3,382$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdf…aae0backed TheMongolz | 46c | 3,260$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked FURIA | 54c | 2,460$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 70c | 2,354$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.78 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked TheMongolz | 30c | 2,008$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA | 56c | 1,912$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.89 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FURIA | 51c | 1,854$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.54 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 1,500$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed TheMongolz | 42c | 1,455$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed FURIA | 37c | 1,274$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.75 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TheMongolz | 46c | 1,160$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.6 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked TheMongolz | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed FURIA | 58c | 857.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked FURIA | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed FURIA | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed FURIA | 75c | 725.5$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 618.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked TheMongolz | 47c | 572.31$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 45c | 567.2$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked FURIA | 51c | 528$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed TheMongolz | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed FURIA | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked TheMongolz | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked TheMongolz | 43c | 288.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 44c | 272$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed FURIA | 35c | 229.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed TheMongolz | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…6c83backed TheMongolz | 46c | 211$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed TheMongolz | 46c | 199$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TheMongolz | 47c | 186.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed TheMongolz | 45c | 173.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed TheMongolz | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 128.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz | 44c | 127.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 123.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed TheMongolz | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed TheMongolz | 38c | 105.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TheMongolz | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed TheMongolz | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked FURIA | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TheMongolz | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked FURIA | 67c | 98.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed FURIA | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed TheMongolz | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed TheMongolz | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed TheMongolz | 40c | 49.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed TheMongolz | 45c | 44.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed TheMongolz | 35c | 42.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed TheMongolz | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…d220backed FURIA | 58c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked TheMongolz | 57c | 33.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked TheMongolz | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.