Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Odivelas Sports Club vs. FlameHard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c37fd753e5bc2c3acd1dc7492c259aa1c5a18952fe3c1457636840afbb4fe68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Odivelasof Odivelas, FlameHard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Odivelas | 63c | 6,288$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.73 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed FlameHard | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed FlameHard | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Odivelas | 21c | 800$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FlameHard | 80c | 756.13$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.12 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed FlameHard | 69c | 433.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…9016backed Odivelas | 47c | 310$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Odivelas | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked Odivelas | 65c | 171.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked FlameHard | 35c | 109$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed FlameHard | 53c | 108$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked FlameHard | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked FlameHard | 35c | 81.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked FlameHard | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed FlameHard | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.