South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50979bf94a28f9be2f2f964dc8d59b9163ad53b71b1b9b7e48381a80f0f5e0ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 37c | 4,947$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.47 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 2,432$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.57 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 2,195$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.93 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 22c | 1,780$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.49 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 1,701$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.26 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 43c | 617.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 484.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 48c | 474.58$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 55cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 67c | 462.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.53 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 54c | 326.09$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 31c | 307.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 48c | 258.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…7f73backed Yes | 48c | 160.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 42c | 141.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 53c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 51c | 97.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 22c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 55c | 65.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 53c | 55.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 52c | 53.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 39c | 42.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…029abacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…e338backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.