TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gaming

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Weibo Gaming58c26,055$15,112 inWon+$10,943.113453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed JD Gaming42c25,555$10,733 inLost-$10,733.136433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed JD Gaming3c12,500$329 inLost-$328.752,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Weibo Gaming54c10,000$5,400 inWon+$4,60063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed JD Gaming39c9,999$3,900 inLost-$3,899.631036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed JD Gaming46c9,996$4,597 inLost-$4,597.4821144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Weibo Gaming61c8,197$5,000 inWon+$3,196.976566.2%43 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Weibo Gaming55c5,480$3,014 inWon+$2,466650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed JD Gaming45c5,480$2,466 inLost-$2,466450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed JD Gaming2c2,400$52 inLost-$51.9917410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming66c2,093$1,375 inWon+$717.73,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Weibo Gaming78c866$675 inWon+$190.5212045.8%55 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Weibo Gaming75c700$528 inWon+$1721,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed JD Gaming43c697.06$300 inLost-$300.313129%9 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked JD Gaming15c655$98 inLost-$98.21,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed JD Gaming8c580$44 inLost-$441,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Weibo Gaming56c535.69$300 inWon+$235.697560%45 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming46c516.53$239 inLost-$239.092,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed JD Gaming42c500$210 inLost-$21053954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked JD Gaming25c475.73$120 inLost-$119.6913747.4%65 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Weibo Gaming53c419.3$222 inWon+$197.0723547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed JD Gaming26c404.64$107 inLost-$10713960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Weibo Gaming61c328.36$200 inWon+$128.3625752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Weibo Gaming55c304.73$168 inWon+$136.5513243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed JD Gaming44c277.59$122 inLost-$122.141,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed JD Gaming46c267.39$123 inLost-$12353829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Weibo Gaming55c254.55$140 inWon+$114.5515551.6%80 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed JD Gaming45c222$100 inLost-$99.910228.4%29 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked JD Gaming45c221.2$100 inLost-$1003770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed JD Gaming47c212.77$100 inLost-$10055145%248 W · 303 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Weibo Gaming75c181.13$135 inWon+$46.0448448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Weibo Gaming75c180.84$136 inWon+$44.6141752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Weibo Gaming57c105.26$60 inWon+$45.2613260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ba…68fabacked JD Gaming47c100$47 inLost-$472161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d2…4f20backed JD Gaming44c99.99$44 inLost-$43.999845.9%45 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Weibo Gaming54c92.59$50 inWon+$42.5961150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed JD Gaming44c90.91$40 inLost-$4050455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Weibo Gaming52c85$44 inWon+$40.610934.9%38 W · 71 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed Weibo Gaming76c80$61 inWon+$18.922352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Weibo Gaming61c66$40 inWon+$25.741,13663.1%717 W · 419 L+51.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked JD Gaming43c65.26$28 inLost-$28.065435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Weibo Gaming77c65$50 inWon+$14.994759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Weibo Gaming77c60$46 inWon+$13.9621549.3%106 W · 109 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Weibo Gaming78c51.28$40 inWon+$11.2822858.3%133 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Weibo Gaming54c49.99$27 inWon+$22.9943539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f0…564cbacked JD Gaming36c41.94$15 inLost-$1536331.1%113 W · 250 L+0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked JD Gaming43c40$17 inLost-$17.264146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f4…43d0backed Weibo Gaming56c35.71$20 inWon+$15.711464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked JD Gaming46c30$14 inLost-$13.817466.7%116 W · 58 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.