Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Valentin Vacherot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a80a10b00e9ac7ff2d93ba42a796effe5f65c524f21407fa47ccd816079a447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vacherotof Bublik, Vacherot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Vacherot | 42c | 15,188$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,839.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bublik | 0c | 3,871$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bublik | 45c | 2,895$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bublik | 58c | 2,572$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Bublik | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Vacherot | 23c | 1,996$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bublik | 53c | 1,553$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.36 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Bublik | 75c | 1,524$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Bublik | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Bublik | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Vacherot | 24c | 1,171$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.41 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Vacherot | 28c | 1,050$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vacherot | 24c | 1,041$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.7 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Bublik | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Vacherot | 26c | 999.67$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.5 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Bublik | 78c | 899.46$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.58 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vacherot | 25c | 819.79$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.84 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Bublik | 75c | 746.67$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bublik | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik | 66c | 669.99$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.85 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Vacherot | 56c | 639.35$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Bublik | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Bublik | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Bublik | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Bublik | 80c | 371.28$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Bublik | 77c | 344.06$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.93 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bublik | 17c | 320.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Vacherot | 12c | 290.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.23 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Bublik | 26c | 279.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Bublik | 75c | 270.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Vacherot | 44c | 264.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Vacherot | 54c | 242.49$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bublik | 40c | 219$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Bublik | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Vacherot | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vacherot | 34c | 194.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Bublik | 79c | 164.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Bublik | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vacherot | 23c | 134$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…84e5backed Bublik | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bublik | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Bublik | 19c | 107.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Bublik | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Bublik | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…e49cbacked Bublik | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Vacherot | 22c | 90.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Bublik | 61c | 83.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…0b72backed Bublik | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Bublik | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Vacherot | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Bublik | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bublik | 32c | 38.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Bublik | 76c | 32.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Bublik | 79c | 31.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -8.8wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Bublik | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed Bublik | 43c | 24.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Bublik | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.