Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Miomir Kecmanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887d4d79f8eb2946c9a7c413969bafb3b848ba8031bdde643fb5d120baaa544f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Etcheverry, Kecmanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Kecmanovic | 56c | 7,179$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.35 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Etcheverry | 52c | 5,727$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.22 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Etcheverry | 53c | 5,546$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.67 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Etcheverry | 57c | 5,313$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.92 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Etcheverry | 73c | 4,217$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.49 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Kecmanovic | 51c | 3,932$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Kecmanovic | 30c | 3,073$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.64 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Kecmanovic | 45c | 2,522$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.41 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Etcheverry | 63c | 2,470$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.21 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Etcheverry | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Etcheverry | 40c | 860.6$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.36 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Etcheverry | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Etcheverry | 70c | 773.96$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Kecmanovic | 60c | 572.92$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.75 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Kecmanovic | 17c | 565.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Kecmanovic | 49c | 529.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Etcheverry | 55c | 510.91$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.91 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Kecmanovic | 51c | 479.89$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Kecmanovic | 53c | 450.94$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Etcheverry | 40c | 418.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kecmanovic | 20c | 418.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Etcheverry | 66c | 358.76$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…5101backed Kecmanovic | 62c | 332.26$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Etcheverry | 40c | 240$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Etcheverry | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Kecmanovic | 53c | 188.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Kecmanovic | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kecmanovic | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Kecmanovic | 61c | 149.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Kecmanovic | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Etcheverry | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Etcheverry | 47c | 106.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Kecmanovic | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Kecmanovic | 29c | 98.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Kecmanovic | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Kecmanovic | 60c | 81.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Kecmanovic | 76c | 65.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…25f8backed Etcheverry | 77c | 63.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Etcheverry | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Etcheverry | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Kecmanovic | 58c | 43.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Kecmanovic | 59c | 41.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Etcheverry | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fd3ebacked Kecmanovic | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Etcheverry | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Etcheverry | 42c | 34.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Kecmanovic | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Etcheverry | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.