WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b39407fd362fd30ac100bf2c4d14aaa877b7c67ebef7a28781e8233ec72009f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 5,218$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.87 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 2,652$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 1,032$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 930$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 335.77$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 268$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 248.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 192.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 63.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 52.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 52.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 52.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 52.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 52.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Dallas Wings | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 37.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 23.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas WingsAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.