WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb961b40e3e5f338e0c852a7ed3821ddb7388dffe32a600e7926102984cbe36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 6,159$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.85 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 3,950$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Under | 53c | 1,871$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Under | 49c | 1,490$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2071…e579backed Over | 50c | 946$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Over | 49c | 822.63$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Over | 46c | 762.02$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 50c | 667.22$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.61 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 50c | 662.68$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 652.47$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Over | 50c | 428$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…1f16backed Over | 50c | 392.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Under | 50c | 356.39$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 340$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Over | 48c | 243.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…8508backed Over | 50c | 226.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 50c | 143.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 115.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 49c | 83.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 50c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 50c | 80.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 59.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 52c | 58.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4015…c724backed Under | 49c | 20.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas WingsAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.