WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd1ee1fbd72e61d116cddb608db82a1ea003a0851020717f14d55455e5a5389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 49c | 11,181$5,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,471.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 51c | 6,990$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 5,633$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.73 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 49c | 1,842$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 1,391$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.55 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 52c | 1,153$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 49c | 1,072$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.61 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 807.73$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.12 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 50c | 400.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 50c | 384.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…2f98backed Over | 49c | 245$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 50c | 204.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 52c | 167.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 50c | 161.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 139.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 138.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 52c | 121.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 99.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 49c | 61.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 50c | 59.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Over | 49c | 58.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 53c | 49.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Over | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…90f2backed Over | 49c | 46.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 50c | 45.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 52c | 43.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 50c | 40.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Over | 50c | 36.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 50c | 31.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 51c | 25.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 52c | 25.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Over | 49c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Over | 50c | 21.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas WingsAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 180.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.