MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb2651528066b58642af481d66f772aa3f35523fe477134aed664d5dfd1ea959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 34c | 13,491$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640.91 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 23c | 6,818$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rockies | 33c | 6,071$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.46 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Phillies | 64c | 6,019$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.97 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rockies | 35c | 5,520$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockies | 33c | 3,195$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.2 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 25c | 2,653$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Phillies | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 66c | 2,200$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.4 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 34c | 1,729$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 34c | 1,573$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.93 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Phillies | 68c | 1,551$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Rockies | 32c | 1,550$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Phillies | 66c | 1,518$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Rockies | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Phillies | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 78c | 1,491$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.12 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 76c | 1,269$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.52 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.08 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Phillies | 65c | 1,034$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Phillies | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Rockies | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Rockies | 38c | 999.81$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.77 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Rockies | 35c | 924.39$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.54 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 72c | 908.84$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.28 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Rockies | 36c | 754.63$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies | 34c | 615.37$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Phillies | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Rockies | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Phillies | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Phillies | 69c | 514.3$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…6f78backed Rockies | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies | 35c | 450.09$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Phillies | 70c | 430.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 67c | 367.16$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Rockies | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Phillies | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…a014backed Phillies | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rockies | 9c | 234.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 30c | 231.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 70c | 227.32$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Rockies | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rockies | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 66c | 183.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Phillies | 68c | 175$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 34c | 160.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Phillies | 77c | 159.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Rockies | 35c | 156.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…142bbacked Phillies | 69c | 150.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rockies | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Phillies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Rockies | 34c | 148.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Rockies | 38c | 145.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…097ebacked Phillies | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Phillies | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Phillies | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Phillies | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Phillies | 75c | 128.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Phillies | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 64c | 112$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Phillies | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Phillies | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Phillies | 66c | 99.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…8165backed Phillies | 69c | 98.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Phillies | 67c | 97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Phillies | 66c | 96.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 34c | 88.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…7178backed Phillies | 67c | 81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Phillies | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Phillies | 66c | 76.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…4a1abacked Phillies | 67c | 72.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rockies | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 17c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 68c | 63.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rockies | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Phillies | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 34c | 57.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Phillies | 69c | 57.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Phillies | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Phillies | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockies | 37c | 51.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Phillies | 70c | 50.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.