NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0225bb3960345d1d4df637a86a8928384dcddff95caf425e254c76fb0c6b813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 8,161$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.13 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 54c | 6,048$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.27 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 58c | 6,027$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.29 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…791fbacked Under | 42c | 4,602$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 4,219$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.67 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 46c | 1,482$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 42c | 1,275$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.69 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 44c | 1,134$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,101$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.83 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 52c | 1,055$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.45 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 982.11$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 41c | 883.38$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.19 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Under | 70c | 845.37$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.33 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 818$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 43c | 739.83$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.95 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 667.73$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.96 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 45c | 616.67$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.17 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 589.02$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 30c | 550$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 55c | 526.76$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 45c | 467.23$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 42c | 415.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Under | 42c | 369.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 18c | 358.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 59c | 299.63$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.78 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 38c | 258.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 51c | 255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 41c | 246.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 215$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 15c | 213$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 64c | 206$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 70c | 185.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 38c | 161.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 50c | 126.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 121.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 59c | 102$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 37c | 100.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 62c | 98.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 49c | 90.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 59c | 83.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 33c | 76.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 42c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 53cpaid | +72%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 26c | 69.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…521ebacked Over | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 34c | 63.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 56c | 53.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 59c | 50.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…cad6backed Over | 59c | 50.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 47c | 48.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 26c | 47.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 41c | 41.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 53c | 26.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 66c | 25.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 61c | 20.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Ducks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.