NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbaf5a74bb271d856cb078ef2edffe38cba8c7b3e816523eed1a9b52b77935b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 7,270$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.06 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 7,250$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.2 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 6,334$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.79 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 53c | 5,010$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 3,874$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.07 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 3,720$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.07 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 3,347$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.24 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 2,658$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Under | 55c | 1,419$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Over | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Under | 60c | 1,117$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 46c | 1,079$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.84 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 974.88$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.45 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 54c | 677.69$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.74 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 30c | 665.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 659$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 46c | 477.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 21c | 423.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 43c | 416$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 49c | 363$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 54c | 326.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 320$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 55c | 297.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 54c | 274.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -11.5wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 51c | 273.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 256$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 21c | 233.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Under | 52c | 217.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 38c | 206.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 54c | 177.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 43c | 172.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Under | 52c | 158.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 53c | 155.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 61c | 142.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 47c | 126.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 55c | 125.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 52c | 109.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c451backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 45c | 89.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 54c | 88.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 34c | 87.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 55c | 87.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 85.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 55c | 84.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Over | 67c | 82.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 76.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 34c | 63.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Under | 41c | 63.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…5ff2backed Over | 46c | 63.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Under | 76c | 61.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 72c | 60.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 55.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 52c | 50.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 55c | 45.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 45.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Over | 46c | 41.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 33c | 38.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 55c | 36.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Under | 43c | 34.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 46c | 31.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over | 49c | 28.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 58c | 27.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 52c | 26.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 26.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 44c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 55c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 58c | 17.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.