Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b55a8303e8194484e5f77fe66a6ea3e5be3fdab475e5738232149ecdf54a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof PlayTime, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 41c | 62,024$25,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,314.32 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 27,037$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,437.17 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 8,040$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.8 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PlayTime | 45c | 5,924$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.49 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 5,414$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.62 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,333$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.87 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 3,043$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,585$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.48 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked PlayTime | 43c | 2,414$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.21 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,288$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.79 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,749$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.77 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 25c | 1,656$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.01 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,558$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.58 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,547$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,500$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,101$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.47 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,026$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.08 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,000$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime | 4c | 950.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 793.75$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 790.45$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.02 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 782$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.58 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 17c | 743.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PlayTime | 15c | 701.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 659.52$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.54 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 10c | 596.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 573.93$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 41c | 527.34$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 507.58$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 494.44$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 374.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 348.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked PlayTime | 34c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked PlayTime | 5c | 245.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 230$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 209$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 205.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…b9c5backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 198.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked PlayTime | 40c | 185.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed PlayTime | 44c | 180.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 177$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 28c | 175.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PlayTime | 9c | 133.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 130.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 113.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed PlayTime | 41c | 82.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked PlayTime | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed PlayTime | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed PlayTime | 45c | 58.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked PlayTime | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed PlayTime | 33c | 50.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed PlayTime | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed PlayTime | 26c | 40.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked PlayTime | 45c | 37.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…e53bbacked PlayTime | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…b63abacked PlayTime | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 29.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.