Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283000f6937747428bc684bc372b43ca0c60a40ec1bcf0f092cb5d754b3e96a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof PlayTime, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 43c | 58,547$25,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,380.75 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 8,833$6,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 8,247$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.92 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 7,407$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.01 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PlayTime | 42c | 6,810$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.39 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 6,061$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.67 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.41 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,394$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.65 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,250$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.5 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,159$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.72 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,009$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.81 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,750$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.44 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PlayTime | 25c | 2,721$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.93 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,676$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.63 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,673$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.78 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed PlayTime | 40c | 2,496$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,343$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.95 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PlayTime | 46c | 2,128$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.41 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…7288backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,880$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,760$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PlayTime | 44c | 1,508$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.48 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,500$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 43c | 1,495$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.71 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,318$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.31 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PlayTime | 28c | 1,235$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,226$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,174$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.5 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,119$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.55 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PlayTime | 31c | 1,085$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.3 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,063$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.12 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,060$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,012$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.57 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,008$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.7 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 992.86$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 874.7$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.69 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 22c | 848$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.22 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 841.95$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.71 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 807.07$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.69 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime | 8c | 700$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 695.74$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 690$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 660$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 577$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.95 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 558.07$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 536.36$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 25c | 523.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PlayTime | 44c | 514$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 23c | 442.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed PlayTime | 15c | 388.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed PlayTime | 3c | 375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 360$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 307.56$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 302.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 295$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PlayTime | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed PlayTime | 45c | 267.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PlayTime | 28c | 258.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PlayTime | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…c2b8backed PlayTime | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 236.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 229.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PlayTime | 7c | 225$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 214.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PlayTime | 27c | 214.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked PlayTime | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 190.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 188.14$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked PlayTime | 29c | 184.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 27c | 171.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked PlayTime | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed PlayTime | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…05a0backed PlayTime | 15c | 160.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 92 | 10.9%10 W · 82 L | -18.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 152$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 147.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 34c | 145.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PlayTime | 27c | 133.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 132.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked PlayTime | 41c | 129.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked PlayTime | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed PlayTime | 15c | 121.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked PlayTime | 42c | 112.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.