Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7757d6ad9b9f12817c45a87139f2b410b1329c699d965268f700f0a3ef2fd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof PlayTime, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 34c | 48,039$16,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,383.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 12,596$7,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.9 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 7,245$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.14 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 4,560$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.39 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…7288backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 4,087$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,691$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.5 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,181$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.05 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,065$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.95 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,690$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.14 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,415$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.11 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,330$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.61 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,146$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.88 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,129$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.79 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,020$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 999.99$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 993.55$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.47 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 978.92$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.1 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 938.23$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked PlayTime | 13c | 917.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PlayTime | 36c | 836.14$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…91bcbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 794.12$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 786.53$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.61 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 784.37$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked PlayTime | 13c | 751.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 721.71$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 699.98$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 690.77$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 679.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed PlayTime | 40c | 647$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 610.76$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…516cbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 578.9$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed PlayTime | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 533.49$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 501$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…ef7cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed PlayTime | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 4c | 499.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed PlayTime | 38c | 492.68$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 41c | 487.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked PlayTime | 38c | 480.04$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 464.49$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 456.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed PlayTime | 44c | 455.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PlayTime | 20c | 380.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 371$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 358.14$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…5521backed PlayTime | 21c | 345.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 255$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 230.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PlayTime | 41c | 228.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed PlayTime | 39c | 211.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed PlayTime | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 36c | 179.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 173.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…be4dbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 169.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 129.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 126$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed PlayTime | 36c | 103.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 100.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked PlayTime | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 98.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed PlayTime | 42c | 94.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…02d0backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 90.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 88.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed PlayTime | 35c | 80.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 77.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed PlayTime | 14c | 73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3467…6787backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 72.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed PlayTime | 22c | 71.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…c1e1backed PlayTime | 24c | 66.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 21c | 63.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 63.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 59.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…1b5fbacked PlayTime | 35c | 56.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed PlayTime | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed PlayTime | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked PlayTime | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed PlayTime | 40c | 47.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 42.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked PlayTime | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed PlayTime | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed PlayTime | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 37.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.