TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,336 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked No62c2,968$1,840 inLost-$1,839.9665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Yes38c2,074$779 inWon+$1,295.293246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No51c2,040$1,040 inLost-$1,040.2476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No51c1,840$943 inLost-$942.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No63c1,238$779 inLost-$778.961,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Yes38c1,002$380 inWon+$621.951346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes36c961.16$350 inWon+$611.5171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No60c713.51$428 inLost-$427.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed No64c499.98$320 inLost-$319.996953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe14a…1648backed Yes38c406.21$154 inWon+$252.21540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Yes38c390.79$148 inWon+$242.793141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes48c213.33$102 inWon+$111.3318240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa8…2bd9backed Yes37c210.76$78 inWon+$132.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…ec95backed Yes38c193.18$73 inWon+$120.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes52c193.01$100 inWon+$93.0136453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x024d…f0debacked Yes38c134.34$51 inWon+$83.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No51c128$65 inLost-$65.2832352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No64c100.91$65 inLost-$64.9283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes40c63.27$25 inWon+$38.2740048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No49c56.99$28 inLost-$27.871,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No64c44.01$28 inLost-$28.0292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed No52c43.4$23 inLost-$22.5719348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No61c36$22 inLost-$21.9622774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No65c20$13 inLost-$1360267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.