TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,064 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked No59c6,317$3,710 inLost-$3,709.9965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes41c6,250$2,577 inWon+$3,672.7576054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes41c2,501$1,013 inWon+$1,487.635,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No59c2,341$1,388 inLost-$1,388.421,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes37c1,430$527 inWon+$903.0871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No61c1,307$803 inLost-$803.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No63c996.82$627 inLost-$627.2626069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No63c795$501 inLost-$500.856669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1078…b0a2backed Yes37c732.58$271 inWon+$461.585433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Yes41c552.33$225 inWon+$327.336040%24 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes55c400$218 inWon+$18240053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed No64c376.38$241 inLost-$240.816953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes37c269.98$100 inWon+$169.5832352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No60c195.98$117 inLost-$116.9183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Yes36c194.44$70 inWon+$124.447022.9%16 W · 54 L-14.1wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb27e…3575backed Yes41c187.37$76 inWon+$111.372536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Yes40c130$52 inWon+$781346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Yes57c87.02$50 inWon+$37.0237352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inWon+$40.7940048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No46c63.88$29 inLost-$29.341,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No42c62.76$26 inLost-$26.361,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No60c49.73$30 inLost-$3092058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes53c36.96$20 inWon+$17.3738048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No59c30$18 inLost-$17.75343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc250…5eafbacked Yes40c29.85$12 inWon+$17.852050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Yes41c29.27$12 inWon+$17.273630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.