NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2074e5de47c527976fc14d5c1a0e24098e75081e864d894239b65a2e459b5231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 19,796$10,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,019.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 44c | 12,638$5,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.87 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 48c | 10,917$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.16 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 8,531$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 56c | 6,821$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.49 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 6,398$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 45c | 3,706$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.6 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,957$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 46c | 1,660$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.6 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 1,120$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,110$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 986.4$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Over | 52c | 660$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 56c | 526.77$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.66 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 389$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 34c | 307.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 282.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 254.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 244.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…8f90backed Under | 49c | 206.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…05d8backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Under | 49c | 184.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 55c | 171.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 138.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 130.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 124.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 75c | 121.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 108.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 107.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…494fbacked Over | 53c | 85.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 25c | 81.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 43c | 58.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 53c | 53.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 52c | 45.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 44.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Under | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 76c | 39.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Under | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 49c | 34.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 57c | 22.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 57c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7503backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.