NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7706c6f6b0a9db27c831bbd9d5ba8682413219319de83bbc93e711956a42f0

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $219,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $220,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,836 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	46c	74,829$34,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,315	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	53c	30,962$16,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,503.85	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	54c	28,740$15,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,350.46	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under	46c	19,430$8,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,950	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over	50c	15,917$8,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,908.38	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Under	49c	10,093$4,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,945.22	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over	52c	7,712$4,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,701.85	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	52c	6,262$3,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,036.07	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	51c	4,916$2,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,506.96	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over	48c	3,810$1,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,981	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Under	46c	3,800$1,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,748	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	54c	2,493$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,142.53	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Under	47c	1,921$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.68	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over	54c	1,600$864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	46c	1,348$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	55c	1,335$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.55	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under	50c	1,298$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	1,273$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.58	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Under	47c	954.5$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.62	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under	46c	652.17$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Over	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	50c	527.83$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.18	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over	55c	523.16$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.42	163	47.2%77 W · 86 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	306	41.8%128 W · 178 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	51c	499.99$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	54c	487.38$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.55	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over	50c	480$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Under	48c	383.33$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over	55c	383.24$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.46	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-7.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under	46c	360$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.6	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-14.2wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under	47c	317$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.99	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	45c	263.23$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.39	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	71c	206.2$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.75	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	55c	203.41$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.32	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under	47c	201.4$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.66	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	219	50.2%110 W · 109 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over	50c	181.08$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.54	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	45c	142.66$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.9	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under	49c	136.09$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.68	201	54.2%109 W · 92 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	37c	135.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over	56c	133.93$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.93	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Under	50c	129.79$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.9	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed Over	50c	117.23$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.09	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	48c	107.16$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	52c	98$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.04	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	50c	80.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4730…cdb1backed Over	49c	70.3$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.62	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	227	56.8%129 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Under	52c	53.66$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	112	50.9%57 W · 55 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	49c	41.08$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.95	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Under	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e36…7f61backed Over	50c	37.14$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over	58c	34.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	390	47.7%186 W · 204 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	55c	33.47$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.01	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Over	68c	32.15$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb640…9ebcbacked Under	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	319	55.2%176 W · 143 L	+13.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under	51c	25.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba6f…7a43backed Over	50c	23.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.91	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61d…d884backed Under	51c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	48c	21.29$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	54c	20.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.28	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…e3e9backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	193	46.1%89 W · 104 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33e1…d221backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f0…8f96backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5this page
1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Over won
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Over won
Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Clippers won
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event