NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4847e320a2574fc951189f06030a95cd4535bf4a4d4195979bb8de45cdf3d82f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 82,600$40,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,216.82 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 34,688$17,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,857.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 18,580$9,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,956.11 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 15,794$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 50c | 10,150$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 49c | 9,002$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.2 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 48c | 8,498$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.84 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 52c | 8,172$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.34 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 7,940$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.2 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 5,123$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.81 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Under | 47c | 3,980$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 3,246$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 3,224$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.28 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 53c | 3,104$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.65 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 48c | 2,897$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.7 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 1,721$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Over | 51c | 1,047$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 49c | 977.59$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.02 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 52c | 915.23$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.31 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 53c | 871.6$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.21 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 790.69$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 695.66$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 48c | 608.94$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.29 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 12c | 427.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 48c | 414.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 399.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 399.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Under | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 67c | 140.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 113.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 97.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 76.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…13bebacked Under | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked Under | 34c | 60.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 46c | 58.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…e3b8backed Under | 55c | 52.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 49.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 52c | 36.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 30.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 47c | 29.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 42c | 27.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 52c | 23.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 20.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Over | 66c | 19.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Over | 58c | 17.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.