Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb910f988120dea820d25404e9826e5902c3dad8daf75e2327ab4a16f6c4d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 49c | 35,604$17,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,445.78 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,150 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 16,659$7,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,891.45 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Yes | 53c | 11,397$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,395.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 4,032$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.4 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 52c | 3,485$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 16c | 3,116$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 52c | 2,001$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 1,934$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.82 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,924$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 48c | 1,761$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.38 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…6147backed No | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…7f2abacked Yes | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 39c | 1,672$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Yes | 55c | 780.27$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 71c | 608.56$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 582.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 46c | 553.11$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 50c | 452$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…2787backed Yes | 51c | 442.16$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 52c | 422.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 49c | 399.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 52c | 381$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 49c | 349.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 65c | 262.16$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…a01fbacked Yes | 54c | 253.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Yes | 43c | 251.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 249.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 66c | 243.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 46c | 229.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…60afbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 58c | 172.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 169.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 72c | 169$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 51c | 165.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 46c | 140.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 54c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Yes | 51c | 122.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 48c | 122$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 51c | 110.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…9b52backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…58debacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0345…7defbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…1e3cbacked Yes | 54c | 91.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…2346backed Yes | 55c | 91.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…235fbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 47c | 84.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…ca22backed Yes | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 53c | 75.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 53c | 75.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e6…0dfabacked Yes | 54c | 73.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…b694backed Yes | 50c | 72.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…bff4backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…0b26backed No | 50c | 65.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…716abacked Yes | 52c | 64.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 64.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 52c | 60.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.