TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Lucas Da Silva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hanfmannof Hanfmann, Silva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf588…2b81backed Hanfmann76c8,201$6,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Silva11c6,574$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.511,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Silva33c5,513$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.398350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Silva5c4,801$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.732,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Silva16c2,881$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.182,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Hanfmann79c2,274$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.117357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Silva22c2,241$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.211,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Silva22c2,123$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Hanfmann79c2,101$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.542,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Silva10c1,959$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.814,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Silva9c1,656$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1496732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hanfmann79c1,655$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.642,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Silva27c1,492$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Silva22c1,070$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5128933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Silva32c1,018$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32116665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Silva19c954.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9449143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Hanfmann74c940.58$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.551,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hanfmann77c931$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1365558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Silva28c791.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Silva25c748.63$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Silva4c631.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.542,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Silva19c630$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Silva33c608.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Silva10c495.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.996,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Hanfmann76c488.04$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1344360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Silva10c480.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.371,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Silva25c451.74$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.121,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Silva16c451.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7228322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Silva11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4444229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Silva11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5f…46d8backed Silva26c385.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Hanfmann76c318$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ce…c202backed Silva10c316.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Hanfmann78c305.32$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4631153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Hanfmann78c299.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Silva24c263$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.561,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Silva17c248.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1118932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Hanfmann77c220.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7819452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Silva24c209.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.998848.9%43 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Silva28c203.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5715244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Hanfmann75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Silva26c192$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Silva26c172.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.855241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Hanfmann78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.214276.2%32 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Hanfmann79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5890854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Silva25c121.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3512147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Silva19c118.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.452,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Silva10c113.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118619.8%17 W · 69 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Silva23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Hanfmann78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2217867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Hanfmann77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2377967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Silva26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ee…0bb0backed Silva10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Silva24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Silva25c99.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9828424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eef…dc2ebacked Hanfmann76c95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.072281.8%18 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Silva21c86.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.253,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Silva25c81.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4865849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Hanfmann77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46767.2%45 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Hanfmann79c77.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.472850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Silva22c74.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.627,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…b445backed Hanfmann75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca3…0a58backed Hanfmann76c65.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Silva21c61.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.114,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Silva22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Silva23c59.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Hanfmann75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3394060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Silva30c50.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8311…3ed4backed Silva24c49.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.972532%8 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Silva23c47.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Hanfmann77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.212664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Hanfmann76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Hanfmann77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Hanfmann77c37.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.443100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Hanfmann73c29.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.885350.9%27 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hanfmann71c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.567,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee3…f07ebacked Hanfmann75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.256068.3%41 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee96…27e7backed Hanfmann78c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x394b…4f55backed Hanfmann75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Hanfmann75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516468.9%113 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Hanfmann73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.410266.7%68 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Hanfmann76c16.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.064669.6%32 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Hanfmann76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Hanfmann80c14.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35149%25 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e0…ad29backed Hanfmann76c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.479470.2%66 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.