TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Tomas Barrios vs Matteo Berrettini

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Berrettiniof Barrios, Berrettini
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,457 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Barrios21c10,694$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.232,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Barrios22c9,377$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.792,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Berrettini75c8,018$5,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.621,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Berrettini73c5,879$4,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.8493055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Barrios14c3,864$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.982,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Berrettini79c3,794$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.5536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f5…63d7backed Berrettini79c3,376$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Barrios24c2,690$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.317,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Barrios24c2,256$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3220043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Berrettini74c1,797$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.772,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Barrios24c1,571$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.017135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Berrettini75c1,468$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.471,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Berrettini74c1,444$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.425354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Barrios23c1,341$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6338931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Barrios25c1,167$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Berrettini77c1,122$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0625764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Barrios13c1,076$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.321,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Berrettini76c1,011$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5354450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Barrios20c955$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Berrettini75c925.83$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6210557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Barrios14c873.7$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2668026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Barrios25c865.39$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3523126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Barrios13c712.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.214,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Berrettini76c610$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.481047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Barrios35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Berrettini74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13019637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Barrios26c499.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…b90ebacked Berrettini74c456.67$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.67666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617f…cde5backed Berrettini77c440.38$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.151952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Barrios8c400$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Barrios27c372.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Barrios29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4e…6b67backed Barrios25c335.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Barrios24c306.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.962,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Barrios11c304.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.694827.1%13 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Berrettini75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea83…03a8backed Berrettini75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Barrios12c265$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Berrettini75c257.6$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.69870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Barrios19c257.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Barrios26c251.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3919134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Berrettini75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5024060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Barrios17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Berrettini73c187.29$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.571,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa519…2cc1backed Barrios27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe541…ae5fbacked Barrios26c185$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Berrettini76c157.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8939872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Barrios9c157.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.189749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Berrettini75c157.33$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3365652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Berrettini75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3321454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Berrettini74c128.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.991,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Barrios9c119.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2211553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Barrios24c109.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3630254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Barrios27c109$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4355241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Berrettini75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2577967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Barrios26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Berrettini75c98.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6133241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Berrettini76c97.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4131647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Barrios27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc594…7738backed Barrios28c89.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Berrettini72c88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.926,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Berrettini74c81.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8629063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Berrettini74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3225950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Berrettini76c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Barrios26c69.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Barrios23c68.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.883,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Barrios25c60.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.936,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Barrios25c60.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1531753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Berrettini80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.288455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Berrettini80c59.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.233364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c7c…cd3abacked Barrios26c56.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Berrettini74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Berrettini74c52.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Berrettini75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55162.7%32 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Berrettini74c45.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8659954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Berrettini75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2521072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Berrettini74c44.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.464,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x650b…683fbacked Berrettini74c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.664463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Berrettini73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4578152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Barrios36c33.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.930741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Berrettini76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.228462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Berrettini75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6743158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Berrettini75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6723554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Berrettini66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.164,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Berrettini74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.727,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Berrettini74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24450%22 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c49…1d27backed Berrettini76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.745969.5%41 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Berrettini76c19.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.763050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e0…ad29backed Berrettini75c14.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.679470.2%66 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Berrettini78c14.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1861953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.