Middle East · resolved market
Assad public appearance before 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d700d9818cad0e6ad595ecd1cb0f1cc398f098ab944527bb033c1817f31d2a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fd…829ebacked Yes | 7c | 8,607$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 16c | 8,543$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…fce2backed Yes | 36c | 7,101$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 24c | 6,100$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 80c | 5,592$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.82 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 79c | 3,440$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.67 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x838c…5c82backed No | 69c | 2,879$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 20c | 2,740$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.59 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…f1a4backed Yes | 22c | 2,087$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 18c | 2,068$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 66c | 1,934$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.77 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…bfb3backed Yes | 17c | 1,721$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 19c | 1,599$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.81 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed No | 64c | 1,558$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.69 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed No | 71c | 1,556$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.46 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,555$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 23c | 1,399$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 76c | 1,313$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 5c | 1,229$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 24c | 1,221$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.58 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…8924backed No | 76c | 1,164$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked No | 80c | 1,104$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…dfa8backed No | 68c | 1,043$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 1,037$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,001$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 999.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked No | 66c | 978.62$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 69c | 973.12$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed No | 63c | 899.99$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 33c | 893.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…dbeabacked Yes | 12c | 826.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 26c | 819$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 21c | 789.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 4c | 745.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…8b4cbacked No | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 9c | 603$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 20c | 599.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed Yes | 33c | 598.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fe1dbacked Yes | 21c | 577.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 515.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes | 22c | 503.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed No | 78c | 499.96$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…b87cbacked Yes | 19c | 467.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9417backed No | 69c | 444.34$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…b46cbacked Yes | 28c | 423.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 64c | 406.56$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 28c | 396$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…4032backed No | 66c | 394.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…e6fdbacked Yes | 26c | 386.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed No | 68c | 379.63$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 80c | 372.5$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d0…12cbbacked Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 28c | 350$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 74c | 337.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 25c | 328.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…6b77backed Yes | 41c | 318.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 18c | 310.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…bedbbacked No | 68c | 304.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 33c | 302.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed No | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 65c | 298$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de3…c449backed Yes | 33c | 297.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…06abbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 65c | 278.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…d74bbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…57c3backed Yes | 44c | 267.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed No | 67c | 262.51$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed No | 70c | 254.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…e40dbacked Yes | 18c | 250.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked No | 66c | 247.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 20c | 237.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked Yes | 11c | 235.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7f…54c7backed No | 63c | 233.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…abc2backed Yes | 30c | 232.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…10dfbacked No | 71c | 208.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…8956backed No | 63c | 205.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…978ebacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…b473backed No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked No | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…98e0backed No | 63c | 194.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked Yes | 35c | 194.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 49c | 192.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea99…f82ebacked No | 63c | 192.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…83c8backed No | 63c | 188.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 12c | 187.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…47f3backed No | 70c | 184.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…fd83backed Yes | 31c | 183.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 21c | 182.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…ac3abacked Yes | 33c | 182.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…a143backed Yes | 22c | 182.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f9…288cbacked Yes | 23c | 177.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…bcc6backed No | 63c | 175.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…d1b4backed No | 63c | 174.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.