Movies · resolved market
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf36cb2a893f724e1cb2a329ff7bd320d596ac0356ef1bc64efc16e46b30fc15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 56c | 1,655$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.36 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 67c | 1,196$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.85 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 36c | 1,070$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.86 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 76c | 800$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…7d2ebacked Yes | 65c | 642.42$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.86 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed No | 19c | 592$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…130dbacked No | 37c | 511.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d5…d0d7backed Yes | 63c | 511.79$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 471.67$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 64c | 329$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 64c | 321$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 60c | 306$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 71c | 282.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 199$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…5680backed Yes | 63c | 197.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…ff41backed No | 43c | 194$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…1f27backed Yes | 57c | 194$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 69c | 192$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…3605backed Yes | 65c | 177.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked No | 35c | 177.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 71c | 172.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 53c | 154.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 50c | 149$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 61c | 140.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…e36cbacked Yes | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…7a30backed No | 43c | 86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 46c | 65.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 49c | 58.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 76c | 54.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…68d9backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 37c | 51.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +67%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…5778backed No | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…0d8fbacked No | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…e943backed Yes | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…2bcbbacked No | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff71…74bfbacked Yes | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…c8e2backed Yes | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…8216backed No | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…e79ebacked Yes | 62c | 40.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…7f0ebacked Yes | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…7f20backed Yes | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…137abacked No | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…5c3fbacked Yes | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…8b38backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…3b00backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd19…8436backed Yes | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…d043backed No | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…36e4backed Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…244dbacked Yes | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…8d1cbacked Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…1ba7backed Yes | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…c332backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a25…b5abbacked Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…177ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +535.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…917ebacked Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…a70ebacked Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Emilia Pérez' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?this page
- Will 'All We Imagine as Light' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?No won
- Will 'Flow' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?No won
- Will 'I’m Still Here' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?No won
- Will 'The Seed of the Sacred Fig' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.