Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Detroit Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8835e3a0feab0968a66df51aa65461d121feac0bbbbe57a559a9c5e0a6a582f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Morris Colonialsof Robert Morris Colonials, Detroit Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Detroit Titans | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 74c | 3,235$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 60c | 1,965$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Titans | 5c | 1,962$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Morris Colonials | 58c | 1,782$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 58c | 1,141$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Titans | 48c | 728.81$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Detroit Titans | 41c | 697.81$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Morris Colonials | 62c | 575.54$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Robert Morris Colonials | 67c | 473.82$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 446$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Detroit Titans | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Detroit Titans | 29c | 308.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 223$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Detroit Titans | 49c | 187$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Detroit Titans | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…9d4dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 62c | 123.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Detroit Titans | 26c | 113.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Robert Morris Colonials | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Detroit Titans | 42c | 69.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…f8c6backed Robert Morris Colonials | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Detroit Titans | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Robert Morris Colonials | 61c | 48.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…325ebacked Detroit Titans | 39c | 45.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Detroit Titans | 40c | 37.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Robert Morris Colonials | 57c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 57c | 31.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Robert Morris Colonials | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Robert Morris Colonials | 62c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.