CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs Prestige (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079aced9734a5758cf38fdcc1e0f367622208e617b73d24c3c8bec6d55f1c079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Preasy Mixof Preasy Mix, Prestige
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Preasy Mix | 68c | 3,054$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.89 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Prestige | 32c | 1,795$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.15 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Prestige | 45c | 1,116$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Prestige | 19c | 720.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Prestige | 41c | 570$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Preasy Mix | 77c | 516.14$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…a23dbacked Preasy Mix | 54c | 515$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…f52cbacked Prestige | 46c | 515$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…e418backed Preasy Mix | 65c | 456.92$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Prestige | 37c | 320.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Prestige | 68c | 294.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Prestige | 36c | 280.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Prestige | 23c | 252.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Preasy Mix | 70c | 214.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Preasy Mix | 60c | 135.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Preasy Mix | 56c | 107.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…5e9fbacked Prestige | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…e530backed Prestige | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Preasy Mix | 55c | 96.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…a01dbacked Prestige | 23c | 96.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Prestige | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Preasy Mix | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Prestige | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Preasy Mix | 60c | 54.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…38adbacked Prestige | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +348%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ab…8f46backed Preasy Mix | 61c | 49.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Prestige | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Preasy Mix | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Preasy Mix | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Preasy Mix | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs Prestige (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs Prestige - Map 1 WinnerPreasy Mix won
- Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs Prestige - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.