NHL · resolved market
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be0c550c8757bb788d09cb9a39d06a5145f35e3bac14136e580e01d29bd918a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Flyers | 48c | 11,764$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.76 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Canucks | 52c | 7,650$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.1 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Canucks | 52c | 3,361$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.58 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 33c | 2,780$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.44 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 67c | 1,272$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.32 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canucks | 67c | 958$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.86 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Canucks | 21c | 869.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.61 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Canucks | 67c | 844$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.48 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 52c | 746$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Flyers | 79c | 613$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Flyers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Canucks | 68c | 210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Canucks | 68c | 183$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Canucks | 67c | 180$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 69c | 152.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Canucks | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Canucks | 67c | 136$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Canucks | 67c | 126$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Canucks | 68c | 105$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers | 31c | 102.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Canucks | 69c | 99.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Canucks | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Canucks | 68c | 79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Canucks | 68c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Canucks | 67c | 71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Canucks | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Canucks | 68c | 68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Flyers | 32c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Canucks | 68c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Canucks | 65c | 61.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Flyers | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Canucks | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Canucks | 67c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Flyers | 33c | 57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Canucks | 67c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Flyers | 31c | 52.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Flyers | 31c | 52.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Canucks | 67c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Canucks | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Flyers | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canucks | 66c | 49.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Flyers | 32c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Flyers | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Flyers | 40c | 47.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Flyers | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Flyers | 33c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Canucks | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Canucks | 68c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Canucks | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Canucks | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Canucks | 68c | 43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Flyers | 32c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Flyers | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Flyers | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Canucks | 67c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Flyers | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Flyers | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Flyers | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Flyers | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Flyers | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Flyers | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canucks | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Canucks | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Canucks | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Canucks | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 72c | 15.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canucks | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. FlyersFlyers won
- Canucks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.