NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b950b9775ff731c61970639da87ee675acb4bb2333553b4f8c223686f0f904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 54c | 18,051$9,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,747.54 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 53c | 13,733$7,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,267.8 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Over | 50c | 9,928$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928.24 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 9,864$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.2 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 47c | 6,087$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.35 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 5,175$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.37 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 2,632$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.6 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 1,647$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.71 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 1c | 1,540$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,082$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.09 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 913$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.02 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 764$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 48c | 626$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.52 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 499.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Under | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 439.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.01 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 47c | 436.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.17 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 50c | 430$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 400.38$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Under | 64c | 326.6$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 47c | 270$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 54c | 267$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 49c | 258.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…5714backed Under | 51c | 217$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Under | 62c | 160.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 55c | 96.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…449cbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…12f4backed Over | 49c | 59.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 46c | 58.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…3157backed Over | 47c | 40.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 46c | 35.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 22.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. FlyersFlyers won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.