MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb994ab0be52c5c2017613daf72a2c62ed93fc8dd8cf76a2f0ebc85dda9c3f4f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 44c | 563,589$247,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,951.24 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 438,323$245,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,862.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 45,800$25,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,152 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Sox | 56c | 41,911$23,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,440.88 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rays | 44c | 30,236$13,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,303.79 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rays | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 35c | 24,493$8,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,009.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 56c | 23,000$12,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 65c | 22,216$14,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,455.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 56c | 21,437$12,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,375.21 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rays | 0c | 16,398$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 44c | 12,320$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.79 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Rays | 44c | 11,781$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.62 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Red Sox | 57c | 11,248$6,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.53 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Red Sox | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rays | 43c | 8,663$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.54 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Red Sox | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 0c | 6,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rays | 44c | 5,635$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.25 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.82 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 59c | 2,711$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.02 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Red Sox | 57c | 2,339$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.6 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rays | 45c | 2,099$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.74 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Red Sox | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 54c | 1,972$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rays | 58c | 1,656$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.89 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 43c | 1,606$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,556$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.55 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Red Sox | 47c | 1,465$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.89 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Red Sox | 55c | 1,322$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.9 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 47c | 1,247$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Red Sox | 31c | 1,215$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Rays | 44c | 1,115$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Red Sox | 31c | 1,004$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.16 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Red Sox | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Red Sox | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Red Sox | 55c | 814.14$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.36 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 44c | 732.31$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.17 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 56c | 708.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.02 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Red Sox | 56c | 644.64$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.64 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Red Sox | 56c | 561.89$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rays | 44c | 553$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 44c | 536.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Red Sox | 36c | 470.16$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Rays | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rays | 45c | 441.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 46c | 436$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 52c | 426.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.11 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 56c | 405.6$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rays | 66c | 350$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 29c | 347.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Red Sox | 52c | 337.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 66c | 310$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Red Sox | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Rays | 45c | 297.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rays | 6c | 287.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Red Sox | 56c | 282.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Red Sox | 56c | 269.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Red Sox | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 53c | 254.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rays | 36c | 245.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 235$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rays | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 45c | 231.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Rays | 45c | 217.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Red Sox | 55c | 202.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…1331backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Red Sox | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Red Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 25c | 199.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Red Sox | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Rays | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Rays | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 45c | 170.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 57c | 165$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 45c | 164$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Sox | 72c | 158$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…5e64backed Rays | 45c | 155.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Raysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.