Champions League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf601e69cf323636dffefb0f90b05b30bdbd6381fc74f8641402e48c48946c6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 55c | 3,134$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.21 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 2,150$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.41 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 60c | 1,476$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.14 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 45c | 999.67$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.85 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 858$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.24 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 42c | 589.73$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 443.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 55c | 414.44$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 368.67$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 46c | 290$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 57c | 257$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 58c | 209.89$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 54c | 184.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 57c | 138.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 92.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 35c | 77.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…20c0backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +163%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Over | 57c | 66.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 19c | 55.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…5b32backed Under | 43c | 47.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Over | 75c | 37.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 27.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 57c | 23.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…0cbebacked Over | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.