Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01314fec1efe9b7c7ad5b1f185730fdd52424f0fda34620275e2394e68b8a0f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSVof Liverpool FC, PSV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked PSV | 63c | 3,333$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Liverpool FC | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Liverpool FC | 38c | 2,400$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PSV | 61c | 2,276$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.22 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool FC | 37c | 1,903$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.04 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed PSV | 65c | 1,838$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.61 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…f4bbbacked PSV | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +495.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Liverpool FC | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Liverpool FC | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Liverpool FC | 25c | 682.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed PSV | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Liverpool FC | 34c | 500.14$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed PSV | 65c | 453.85$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed PSV | 63c | 407.89$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed PSV | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Liverpool FC | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Liverpool FC | 37c | 272.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Liverpool FC | 24c | 254.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Liverpool FC | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PSV | 73c | 239.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Liverpool FC | 34c | 165$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fb1bbacked PSV | 64c | 155.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Liverpool FC | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Liverpool FC | 40c | 135.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…2a37backed Liverpool FC | 39c | 82.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed PSV | 63c | 74.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed PSV | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked PSV | 61c | 63.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed PSV | 61c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…d934backed Liverpool FC | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked PSV | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Liverpool FC | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Liverpool FC | 38c | 34.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed PSV | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked PSV | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked PSV | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…4e44backed PSV | 68c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed PSV | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed PSV | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed PSV | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed PSV | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)this page
- Liverpool FC vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.